Golden Glove betting guide: World Cup 2018 FIFA goalkeeper of the tournament odds
Golden Glove betting: Who will win it?
There are now simply four contenders for this market.
Effectively, if you have gone home, well you are not winning the Golden Glove according to the bookies.
Which feels a little harsh on the likes of Kasper Schmeichel and Igor Akinfeev, but this award is almost always won by the winning team’s goalkeeper.
Hugo Lloris vs Thibaut Courtois
The first semi-final pits two likely winners: Hugo Lloris vs Thibaut Courtois.
The fascinating part of this battle is that both Lloris and Courtois made fantastic saves in their quarter-final victories.
Lloris does have the edge in the betting and a fine display in the semi-final could supply the Spurs custodian with an award, barring some great displays in the other semi or final.
Danijel Subasic vs Jordan Pickford
We suspect, there are many in England backing Jordan Pickford for this award.
Pickford remains at attractive odds in a four-horse race and the Everton goalie has made penalty stops against Colombia and was man of the match versus Sweden.
Again, the second semi-final will decide this one with Subasic the penalty hero in two successive shoot-outs!
Much like the Golden Ball, if you know who wins the World Cup, this looks like a very open market to make some money on.
From the first weekend of the World Cup!
Golden Glove betting: David De Gea sees a big drop
Before the start of the tournament, David De Gea was seen as the favourite to win the Golden Glove at Russia 2018.
A major mistake from the Manchester United goalkeeper has seen De Gea’s odds drift dramatically.
De Gea was 4/1 to win this Golden Glove betting market at the start of the tournament, now he is rated at 9/1.
It wouldn’t be a huge surprise if De Gea recovered, so perhaps now is the time to put your money on the Spain custodian?
Understanding the Golden Glove betting market
This is a significant World Cup for the Golden Glove award since it was formerly known as the “Yashin Award”.
Lev Yashin is Russia’s most famous football player and is perhaps the greatest goalkeeper to ever grace the Beautiful Game.
Unfortunately, Yashin is no longer around to see the World Cup in his home country but he does feature on World Cup 2018 posters.
Like the Golden Ball, the Golden Glove is decided by the FIFA Technical Study Group.
The decision on who wins the Golden Glove is down to the player’s performance throughout the final competition.
Winning the Golden Ball and Golden Glove is entirely possible but would realistically be some feat for a goalkeeper.
As will be discussed below, the last five winners have all come from the World Cup winning team. But, that isn’t a certainty…
Below is a breakdown of the Golden Glove betting market for World Cup 2018. From the start of the tournament.
David De Gea – Spain
Could David De Gea become the first Spaniard to win this award since the legendary Ricardo Zamora did in 1934?
After winning the Premier League Golden Glove betting market last month, the Manchester United goalkeeper is certainly a leading contender.
De Gea managed 22 clean sheets in just 46 appearances last term and a few more in Russia could give him a strong case to pick up another individual accolade.
What will really help De Gea’s chances is the fact he is apart of a very strong team.
Playing behind a (likely) settled back four of Dani Carvajal, Sergio Ramos, Gerard Piqué and Jordi Alba means that Spain will be hard to score against and under new coach, Julen Lopetegui, they will be a force again.
Hugo Lloris – France
The man many believe will be lifting the World Cup come the 15th of June, Hugo Lloris will be hoping to become only the second man to captain France to World Cup glory.
However, there are concerns, especially in the French media surrounding his form and that Lloris is prone to a mistake at a crucial moment which could be the difference between heartbreak and success for France.
However, Lloris should feel confident going into his fifth international tournament due to the fact he is part of a very strong team.
France’s two centre backs, Raphaël Varane and Samuel Umtiti both come into this tournament off the back of impressive seasons which saw them win multiple trophies.
However, seven of the eight defenders in the French squad are 25 or younger, meaning Lloris will have to play a captains role and be the leader on the field.
Nevertheless, this French side is full of stars and are my tip to return home world champions and if that is the case it is likely Lloris will win the Golden Glove betting market too.
Jordan Pickford – England
Could we see an English winner for the first time since 1966?
Back then Gordon Banks and the Three Lions lifted aloft the Jules Rimet trophy at Wembley.
You feel that if Pickford is to win this accolade England are going to have to get a lot closer to those former glories in Russia then they have at previous tournaments.
On June 4, 2018, the official deadline for squad submissions by FIFA, England’s squad numbers were announced with Pickford allocated the number 1 shirt.
This appears to be a clear indicator that he will be England’s first choice at the World Cup.
Two potentially easy games to start, against Tunisia and Panama, could help Pickford ease his way into his first senior tournament before the tough test of Belgium in Kaliningrad.
If all goes to plan and England do progress through the group stages and then the first knockout round it is likely they will face either Brazil or Germany in the quarter finals.
Defeating either of these opponents would be an uphill task for this young squad so if Pickford is to win the Golden Glove betting market, England would surely at least have to make the semi-finals, something no England team has done for 28 years.
Alisson – Brazil
After a stellar season with Roma, Alisson is being linked with a move to some of Europe’s top clubs like Chelsea, Liverpool and Real Madrid.
Can the Brazil number one use the World Cup as a springboard to a huge club?
To put into some perspective just how good Alisson is, he’s keeping Manchester City’s Ederson on Brazil’s bench despite the fact he was sublime in helping the Citizens to a record 100 points Premier League total.
Alisson kept five clean sheets in Roma’s run to the Champions League semi finals and if he can reproduce this form in Russia he’s could become Brazil’s first Golden Glove winner.
With experienced defenders like Thiago Silva, Marquinhos, Miranda, Danilo, Filipe Luís and Marcelo in their ranks, Brazil have a great chance of going all the way to the final in Moscow.
Thibaut Courtois – Belgium
Can Belgium win their first piece of international silverware this summer?
And if they do they’ll have to rely on Chelsea shot-stopper Thibaut Courtois.
Courtois, like most of his Chelsea teammates, had a difficult season which saw them miss out on the top 4. However, he has an impressive record for his national team averaging a clean sheet every other game and if he can keep that going, who knows… Belgium could become the ninth different team to be crowned World Champions.
Belgium’s back 3 at this tournament will likely be Toby Alderweireld, Jan Vertonghen and Vincent Kompany and defences don’t come much more experienced than that.
Belgium will fancy their chances of winning and keeping a clean sheet in their first two group encounters with Panama and Tunisia before a highly anticipated match-up with England, which again they will be favourites to win.
The Red Devils will also be favourites to progress from the round of 16, whoever they play which would see them into a third quarter-finals in a row at tournaments. There they are likely to face either Brazil or Germany which is where we would find out just how good they really are but Roberto Martínez’s side wouldn’t fear either.
You feel that if Courtois is to add this individual award to his array of accolades then his side are going to at least do what no Belgium team has done since Mexico ’86, reach a semi finals.
Manuel Neuer – Germany
Despite the fact Manuel Neuer hasn’t featured for Bayern Munich since September the 16th, he’s been named in Joachim Löw’s squad.
And Neuer is set to be Germany’s number 1 at a World Cup for the third time.
Barcelona goalkeeper, Marc-André ter Stegen, has been Germany’s keeper in Neuer’s absence but Joachim Löw appeared to hint that Neuer will start their opener against Mexico by giving him the number 1 shirt.
Will fitness be a problem for Neuer or can he recapture the form which saw him talked about as the world’s very best?
Neuer does have serious pedigree though.
In Brazil four years ago, not only did his side come back with the trophy he picked up the individual award for the best goalkeeper due to the fact he kept 4 clean sheets and only let in four goals in the entire tournament.
However, to retain this Golden Glove award he is going to have to enjoy team success too. All of the last five winners, including Neuer himself, have reached the final with four of them lifting the trophy but as part of a very strong German side Neuer has a great chance of going home with both trophies he picked up in Brazil.
Previous World Cup Golden Glove winners
2014 World Cup in Brazil: Manuel Neuer (Germany)
2010 World Cup in South Africa: Iker Casillas (Spain)
Previously known as the “Yashin Award”:
2006 World Cup in Germany: Gianluigi Buffon (Italy)
2002 World Cup in Japan & South Korea: Oliver Kahn (Germany)
1998 World Cup in France: Fabien Barthez (France)
What can we learn from previous World Cup Golden Glove winners?
Overall it is clear that, by looking at recent history, it is likely that whichever side lifts the World Cup in the Luzhniki Stadium on the 15th of June will probably possess the man who is named goalkeeper of the tournament.
This puts Hugo Lloris, Manuel Neuer, Alisson and David De Gea at a clear advantage
It should also be noted that there is a clear propensity for goalkeepers sponsored by Adidas to win this award.
Perhaps it is a coincidence, but the Golden Ball and Golden Glove awards have been dominated by Adidas winners in recent years…